时间:2020年11月14日(星期六)下午2点(德国时间)
方式:通过Zoom进行


简介

美国总统大选基本尘埃落定,新一届政府将在2021年1月就任。鉴于美国在世界上的重要地位,这次总统大选必将对德中关系也产生重大影响。在对华关系和对德国等盟国关系方面,美国新一届政府是否会对特朗普政府以对抗和冲突为特征的政策做出重大调整?会有哪些变化和连续性?德国是否会与拜登政府加强协调,制定跨大西洋对华政策,以共同应对中国崛起给西方世界带来的挑战?美国因素将如何影响德中关系?未来的德中关系将因美国回归多边主义而更加融洽,还是会因德美关系好转而承压?

 

这些重大问题,不但是各界精英关注的焦点,也会对普通人的生活产生影响。我们虽然无力影响政策制定,但我们可以顺应时代大势以趋利避害。作为一个独立的公益社团,德中论坛协会(在德国首都柏林注册)致力于通过组织丰富多样的活动来促进德中交流。我们计划就此主题召集一次在线讨论,欢迎各位感兴趣人士参加,自由坦诚地分享信息、发表观点并提出问题。


时间

2020年11月14日,星期六,德国时间下午2点(北京时间晚上9点)


议程

14:00-15:00:用中文讨论

15:00-15:10:休息

15:10-16:00:用英语讨论

大家可选择自己方便的时间段参加,欢迎发言,旁听也可。


讨论记录(中文部分)

音频

YouTube视频

讨论者:
成朝庭(德中论坛研究所创始人)
张干一(柏林自由大学政治学博士)
郭丹琪(波茨坦大学公共政策硕士生)
赵进(柏林洪堡大学法学博士)


参加方式

本次讨论通过Zoom进行,请点击如下链接加入:
https://us04web.zoom.us/j/4872536313?pwd=WGtta3lzVTVqcDlnaVBjRFBpMTlNdz09
Meeting ID: 487 253 6313
Passcode: 123456


Introduction

The presidential election in the United States is almost a done deal, and a new president will take office in January 2021. Given the important role of the United States in the world, the leadership change in Washington will have significant impacts on German-Chinese relations as well. Will the new US administration fundamentally change the Trump administration's foreign policies of confrontation and conflict? What will be the changes and continuities? Will Germany work closely with the Biden administration to develop a transatlantic policy toward China in order to jointly address the challenges posed to the Western world by the rise of China? How will the US factor affect German-Chinese relations? Will the future German-Chinese relations be better because of the return to multilateralism of the United States, or will they be under pressure because of the improvement in German-American relations?

 

These important issues are not only what the elites care about, but also have impacts on the lives of ordinary people. Although they have no capability to change political decisions, they can adapt to them. Therefore, DCF Institute organized an online conference on November 14, 2020 to discuss these issues. The first part of the discussion is in Chinese and the second part in English, welcome to listen to the audio and watch the video. Any comments are highly appreciated.


Recording of the discussion

Audio

Video


参考材料

1. 美国当选总统拜登关于对外政策主张的文章

Why America Must Lead Again? Rescuing U.S. Foreign Policy After Trump

2. Das Verhältnis der USA zu China: Auswirkungen auf die EU

https://www.swp-berlin.org/publikation/das-verhaeltnis-der-usa-zu-china-auswirkungen-auf-die-eu/

3. Sieben Trends, die die Innen- und Außenpolitik der USA prägen werden

https://www.swp-berlin.org/publikation/usa-langfristige-trends-in-der-innen-und-aussenpolitik

4. 2020 election scenarios: Implications for American foreign policy

https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/in-depth-research-reports/issue-brief/us-election-scenarios-implications-for-americas-role-in-the-world/

5. 姜锋: 德国外交需克服三大战略误判

http://www.sohu.com/a/428256955_162522

6. 美国大选进入倒数 拜登盼结盟抗中

https://p.dw.com/p/3kd5T

7. 德国外长Maas文章
Zeit für einen Neuanfang in der transatlantischen Partnerschaft

https://www.auswaertiges-amt.de/de/newsroom/maas-wams/2409522

8. 德国和澳大利亚两国国防部长会谈视频
The Indo-Pacific: Geostrategic challenges and opportunities for Australia and Germany

https://app.livestorm.co/aspi/the-indo-pacific-geostrategic-challenges-and-opportunities-for-australia-and-germany

9. Germany to Deploy a Frigate to Patrol the Indo-Pacific

https://thediplomat.com/2020/11/germany-to-deploy-a-frigate-to-patrol-the-indo-pacific/

10. 拜登与中国的40年:从支持中国崛起到对华强硬

https://cn.nytimes.com/usa/20200908/biden-china/